Germany’s ROSAT (Roentgen Satellit) Satellite is expected to fall back to the earth at the end of October. The odds of a fragment of the ROSAT hitting a person, upon making landfall, are worse than that of the UARS satellite: 1 in 2,000. The UARS odds were 1 in 3,200.
The odds of being struck by a ROSAT because ROSAT was built with heat-resistant mirror structures; much of UARS burned up upon re-entry, meaning only 20-40% of UARS actually reached the Earth’s surface.
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